Monday, January 7, 2008

First set of Mets Player Projections for 2008

Here are Bill James's projections for the 2008 New York Mets as of today.

Jose Reyes - .284/.348/.442 (AVG/OBP/SLG), .789 OPS, 14 HR, 69 SB, 20 CS
Luis Castillo - .299/.370/.360, .730 OPS, 3 HR, 20 SB, 10 CS
David Wright - .318/.407/.554, .961 OPS, 31 HR, 27 SB, 7 CS
Carlos Beltran - .275/.364/.515, .878 OPS, 32 HR, 23 SB, 5 CS
Carlos Delgado - .269/.373/.508, .881 OPS, 30 HR, 2 SB, 1 CS
Moises Alou - .292/.360/.477, .837 OPS, 19 HR, 3 SB, 1 CS, 123 Games
Ryan Church - .273/.353/.463, .815 OPS, 15 HR, 4 SB, 2 CS, 130 Games
Brian Schneider - .249/.328/.362, .690 OPS, 7 HR, 0 SB, 0 CS

Ruben Gotay - .258/.321/.406, .728 OPS, 128 AB, 3 HR
Endy Chavez - .273/.318/.368, .687 OPS, 209 AB, 2 HR, 7 SB, 3 CS
Damion Easley - .235/.326/.395, .721 OPS, 162 AB, 6 HR
Marlon Anderson - .262/.323/.402, .725 OPS, 122 AB
Ramon Castro - .252/322/.469, .791 OPS, 290 AB, 16 HR
Angel Pagan - .250/.302/.383, .686 OPS, 120 AB, 5 SB, 2 CS


Pedro Martinez - 10-4, 125 IP, 2.88 ERA, 135 SO, 1.02 WHIP
Oliver Perez - 9-12, 190 IP, 4.69 ERA, 196 SO, 1.45 WHIP
John Maine - 12-11, 200 IP, 4.05 ERA, 169 SO, 1.36 WHIP
El Duque - 8-7, 139 IP, 3.95 ERA, 118 SO, 1.28 WHIP

Billy Wagner - 2.74 ERA, 35 SV, 69 IP, 82 SO, 1.01 WHIP
Aaron Heilman - 3.41 ERA, 87 IP, 72 SO, 1.23 WHIP
Pedro Feliciano - 3.57 ERA, 68 IP, 61 SO, 1.31 WHIP
Duaner Sanchez - 3.98 ERA, 61 IP, 45 SO, 1.36 WHIP
Matt Wise - 3.83 ERA, 40 IP, 31 SO, 1.28 WHIP
Scott Schoeneweis - 4.50 ERA, 60 IP, 36 SO, 1.47 WHIP

Jorge Sosa - 6-7, 4.38 ERA, 115 IP, 15 GS, 75 SO, 1.45 WHIP


Recent Mets:
Lastings Milledge - .286/.350/.463, .813 OPS, 18 HR, 21 SB, 10 CS
Paul Lo Duca - .283/.331/.395, .727 OPS, 9 HR

The biggest problem here seems to be the starting rotation, and that has been no secret this offseason. He seems to think Delgado will bounce back as do most people. Randolph was on the Hot Stove Report, and admitted that Delgado may have been too proud last year to make the necessary changes while he was slumping. Now Delgado is admitting that he had a horrible year. He is checking his pride at the door, and hopefully this will translate into a big year in what may be a contract year for him. Overall, these numbers seem pretty solid although he doesn't seem to think too highly of Perez or Maine.

There is still a lot of time until pitchers and catchers report, and the acquisition of Santana would definitely improve both our starting pitching and bullpen. At this point, with no other viable options available, the Mets should give the Twins what they want minus Reyes and open up their checkbook. Give him what he wants, as it may be a long time until a pitcher of Santana's quality may become available to the Mets. We need to do whatever is necessary to acquire him and reclaim the NL East from the trash talking Phils.

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